芝加哥商品交易所:上周生猪屠宰量下降
US - Hog slaughter last week was 2.211 million head, 3.6 per cent lower than the previous week and 2.1 per cent lower than what it was a year ago.The slaughter level was lower than what was implied by the last USDA Hogs and Pigs report but it is too early to conclude that slaughter numbers are starting to deviate from the inventory survey. Hog slaughter so far has tracked quite close to the inventory implied numbers and, if that continues to hold, we should expect hog slaughter to hover a little under 2.3 million head for the next two weeks and remain above 2.2 million headTotal cattle slaughter last week at 534,000 head was 1.5 per cent higher than the same week a year ago. We do not have a breakdown of the steer, heifer and cow slaughter but can make a projection based on the data reported through Thursday and the Fri/Sat slaughter. We estimate steer/heifer slaughter for the week at 423,000 head, 1.6 per cent higher than a year ago.
上周美国生猪屠宰量有221.1万头,和前一周相比低了3.6%,与去年同期相比下降2.1%。生猪屠宰量水平要比美国农业部(USDA)公猪和仔猪报告暗示的水平低。但是过早的下定结论以至于屠宰数量开始与库存调查偏离。生猪屠宰量目前为止与库存调查暗示的数量十分接近,要是保持这个状态,我们预计未来两周生猪屠宰量徘徊在230万头以下,保持在220万头以上。上周牛的总屠宰量有534000头,比去年同期高1.5%。我们没有对阉牛、小母牛、奶牛分类,但是基于周四、周五报告的小母牛、阉牛屠宰量数据可以做出预料。我们预计这周牛的屠宰量能达到423000头,比去年同期增长1.6%。
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